SORRY for the delay. Been Busy Riding My Motorcycle and the season snuck up on me. But now that I am back. I am raring to find out if I can improve on Last Years disappointing, account. SO Join me and play along. See if you can beat me. For those of you who do not know how confidence ranking goes, let me explain. If we were playing an office pool,(which we ARE NOT). The object is to score the most points. To obtain the score YOU rank the teams by how confident you are a team will win its game. EXAMPLE: Say this week we have 17 games. The team you are most confident will win you would assign the number 17 and follow down to the team you are least confident in and assign that number 1. We use the Monday night game as a TIE BREAKER. The tie is broke by the closest to the total (that is the COMBINED score of the two participating tams) final score, without going over. If we were playing this is how my sheet would look; My pick will be in bold Capital letters. you can use circling, underlining, or highlighting. I will show my correct points in Bold [table]GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE THURSDAY 09/19/2013 ; 08:25 KANSAS 26 @ Philadelphia 16, 8 pts,8 SUNDAY 09/22/2013 : 13:00 San Diego 17 @ TENNESEE 20, 9 pts,17 Cleveland 31 @ MINNESOTA 27, 11 pts,17 Tampa Bay 3 @ NEW ENGLAND 23 , 13 pts,30 HOUSTON 9 @ Baltimore 30, 5 pts,30 St. Louis 7 @ DALLAS 31,10 pts,40 Arizona 7 @ NEW ORLEANS 31 ,14 pts,54 Detroit 27 @ WASHINGTON 20,2 pts,54 GREEN BAY 30 @ Cincinnat 34i,7 pts,54 N.Y. Giants 0 @ CAROLINA 38,1 pts,54 SUNDAY 09/19/2013 16:05 Atlanta 23 @ MIAMI 27 ,3 pts,57 Indianapolis 27 @ SAN FRANCISCO 7,15 pts,57 Jacksonville 17 @ SEATTLE45 ,17 pts,74 Buffalo 20 @ N.Y. JETS 27 ,4 pts,78 SUNDAY 09/19/2013 20:30 CHICAGO 40 @ Pittsburgh 23 ,6 pts, 84 MONDAY 09/20/2013 20:40 Oakland 21 @ DENVER 37,16 pts,100 TOTAL POINTS (TIE BREAKER) 49 pts Tie Breaking Points 58 pts [/table] This week perfect score would be 153 pts Bet you can’t beat me. Good Luck Views: 94
Tag: Confidence
NFL PLAYOFFS WEEK TWO
I Passed up a perfect week last week. And I may have not learned all that much. Because once again I will go against the numbers, and question the numbers on another game. Can you guess the two games in question? Going by they numbers my picks would be Denver over Baltimore San Francisco over Green Bay Atlanta over Seattle New England over Houston But now is the time you throw out all the numbers I am only confident about one game. That being Denver over Baltimore. No doubt in my mind about this one. With Manning healthy I believe the Ravens have little chance to advance. However, If Denver’s line falters and Manning is injured, and the score is close, Baltimore has a grand chance to advance. San Francisco and Green Bay. Green Bay has the more seasoned QB in Aaron Rodgers. But Collin Kaepernick: Where did he come from? Perhaps the most surprising QB of this season. He has saavy, Speed and a line that is capable of giving him the time he may need. San Francisco, on the other hand has a fairly awesome defensive team. That leaves us with the question: Which line will wear down first? Seattle and Atlanta. The BATTLE OF THE “Angry “BIRDS. Rookie Russell Wilson and Veteran Matt Ryan. Ryan has played in in 3 post season games and lacks a solitary win. He has so much to prove this game. BUT…can he do it this time? Wilson (the rookie). When you consider what this rookie has brought to Seattle, with his march toward Rookie of the year. Of course you know how much I like this QB. I have to say he is the total package. Although his game last week took a backseat to RGIII’s injury, Is there anything he can not do. Perhaps. Is there anything his team would not do him. Don’t think so. He is a true TEAM Leader. But here is that Veteran Vs the lone Rookie QB. Houston and New England. Pretty much of a toss up for me. Houston had a great season. Clinched their playoff berth early. New England, always tough. Just a tough call and I would have to say a total toss up. Houston has had a couple of off weeks so they should all be healthy. However I have seen these off weeks hurt more teams than help. HOW to call this one. First let me give you the picks if I played the numbers, and the confidence rating they would have received [table]GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE Saturday 01-12-2013 4:30 pm Baltimore 38 @ DENVER 35 2 OT 4 (miss 4), 0,0 Saturday 01-12-2013 8:00 pm Green Bay 31 @ SAN FRANCISCO 45 2(HIT 2),2,2 Sunday 01-13-2013 1:00 pm Seattle 28 @ ATLANTA 30 1 (HIT 1), 1,3 Sunday 1-12-3013 4:30 pm Houston 28 @ New England 41 3 (HIT 3),3,6 [/table] Final Score 37 Now This is how I would most likely play it if money were on the line [table]GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE Saturday 01-12-2013 4:30 pm Baltimore 38 @ DENVER 35 2 OT4(miss 4),0,0 Saturday 01-12-2013 8:00 pm Green Bay 31 @ SAN FRANCISCO 45 2(HIT 2),2,2 Sunday 01-13-2013 1:00 pm SEATTLE 28@ Atlanta 30 3,(miss 3), 0,2 Sunday 1-12-3013 4:30 pm HOUSTON 28@ New England 41 1, (miss 1), 0,2 [/table] Final Score 37 FINAL SCORE 69 Good Luck and may MY teams win. I guess I really missed the total score this time New England had more points than my Final Score . WOW !! What a game we started the day with. Double Over Time? Baltimore played a good game, and got many a favorable call or no call. Yes you have those in all games. As I had other business to tend to I have to admit to not seeing the entire game. Only the half attention you pay when company (who does not follow sports) drops by. Their business was important to them and I. It seemed to me DENVER made an abundance of miscues on their own, which contributed to their downfall. These errors made the game about 14 points closer than it should be. So with that said was it the seemingly aforementioned favorable call or no call. NO. It still came down to DENVER mistakes. As for the GREEN BAY-SAN FRANCISCO game. Sadly I must admit I was only able to see a couple of plays. I usually only sleep 4 hours a day. Then there are those days I may sleep all day and night. I fell asleep about 8:30 pm and woke up this morning, by way of a phone call, at about 8:45 this morning. NOT sure I need that much sleep. So much for that. Let’s see what today’s games bring. Disappointing game. Seattle @ Atlanta. I suppose we will never know who called the time out which eventually cost Seattle the win. Seattle coach,Ref,Ump,Atlanta, Atlanta player, Seattle player. My guess is the Seattle coach. But sure seemed to be denying it. You may wonder, like I did, WHERE WAS SEATTLE’s Defense. Well this is my story. At the end of the third quarter I personally called to Atlanta and asked for the Seattle Defensive Coordinator. This is what I was told, “I thought we played the 4:30 game” That is my story anyway. Then that last series the defense just stood watching , just like they did the first 3 quarters. I Am sure you would have to chalk this win not up to the outstanding play of Atlanta, But to the lack of D-E-F-E-N-S-E by the Seahawks. Russell Wilson you may not be the media darling as is RG III. But you have proven yourself to be ROOKIE OF THE YEAR. Small consolation to being SUPERBOWL CHAMPS. However your team is young and I’m sure adjustments will be made in the off season to eventually get you that Super Bowl Ring. Houston Vs New England. You watch this game and wonder “How did Houston get here to begin with. … Continue reading NFL PLAYOFFS WEEK TWO
NFL Confidence Rating Dec 30 2012
Almost hit my goal last week. Did I learn anything or will I make the same mistake (teams INDIANAPOLISing). [table]GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE SUNDAY 12-30-2012 1:00 pm N.Y. Jets 9 @ Buffalo 28 8,(HIT 8), 8 Baltimore 17 @ Cincinnati 23 4, (HIT 4), 12 Cleveland 10 @ Pittsburgh 24 1, (HIT 1), 13 Houston 16 @ Indianapolis 28 11, (HIT 11), 24 Jacksonville 20 @ Tennessee 38 9, (HIT 9), 33 Philadelphia 7 @ N.Y. Giants 42 12, (HIT 12), 45 Chicago 26@ Detroit 24 5,(miss 5), 45 Tampa Bay 22 @ Atlanta 172, (miss 2), 45 Carolina 44 @ New Orleans 38 10, (miss 10), 45 SUNDAY 12-30-2012 4:25 pm Miami 0 @ New England 28 13, (HIT 13), 58 Green Bay 34 @ Minnesota 37 7, (miss 7), 58 Kansas City 3 @ Denver 38 15, (HIT 15), 73 Oakland 21 @ San Diego 24 3, (HIT 3), 76 Arizona 13 @ San Francisco 27 16, (HIT 16), 92 St. Louis 13 @ Seattle 20 14, (HIT 14), 106 SUNDAY 12-30-2012 8:20 pm Dallas 18 @ Washington 28 6, (HIT 6) , 112 [/table] Final Score 36 FINAL SCORE 46 GOOD LUCK and HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! At long last I have finally topped my goal of 100 pts. It has been a long time coming. Of course I did opt to take Indy over Houston, (the Indianapolising thing). But The big difference is Houston did not throw away an UNDEFEATED season to do it. To me the fact that Indianapolis did throw away a most PROBABLE UNDEFEATED SEASON, will forever be etched in the history “HALL OF SHAME”. So how did you do. Check back for more rankings of the playoff series. HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! By the way. I tried to think of a RESOLUTION for next year…. But couldn’t think of anything I could do to improve AFTER ALL I did score 112 points. (But I know we all have something we could improve on. I just couldn’t think of any I had any control over) Thanks, Wayne Views: 100
NFL Confidence picks Dec. 22, 2012 thru Dec 23,2012
With another week behind us, and only a couple of weeks left; I am running out of time to find the correct formula. I rarely scored under 100 points, when I played our office pool. Now I can’t find that formula. My old odds spread out into ten thousands space. Now I can only get into the tenths space. Therefore: I know I have something wrong. But here I go again. Trying again [table]GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE Saturday Dec. 22 2012 8:30 pm ATLANTA 31 @ Detroit 18 ,7 (HIT7) , 7 Tennessee 7 @ GREEN BAY 55 ,15 (HIT 15) ,22 Oakland 6 @ CAROLINA 17 ,13 (HIT 13) , 35 Buffalo 10 @ MIAMI 24 ,8 (HIT 8),43 Cincinnati 13 @ PITTSBURGH 10, 6 (miss 6),43 NEW ENGLAND 23 @ Jacksonville 16 ,2 (HIT 2),45 INDIANAPOLIS 20 @ Kansas City 13 ,12 (HIT 13),57 WASHINGTON 27 @ Philadelphia 20 , 10 (HIT 10),67 St. Louis 28 @ TAMPA BAY 13 , 5 (miss 13),67 Minnesota 14@ HOUSTON 23 ,14 (miss 14)*,67 San Diego 27 @ N.Y. JETS 17 , 9 (miss 9), 67 Sunday Dec 23 2012 4:05 pm Cleveland 12 @ DENVER 34 ,16 (HIT 16),83 Sunday Dec 23 2012 4:25 pm CHICAGO 28 @ Arizona 13,11,(HIT 11), 94 N.Y. GIANTS 14 @ Baltimore 33,(miss 3) 3, 94 Sunday Dec 23 2012 8:20 pm SAN FRANCISCO 13 @ Seattle 42,1(miss 1), 94 FINAL SCORE: 39 FINAL SCORE 55 [/table] Well Good Luck and MERRY CHRISTMAS. * Should have known HOUSTON would pull an INDIANAPOLIS. With play off top seed locked in. Views: 89
NFL Confidence Picks DEC. 13 thru DEC 17, 2012
I don’t want to talk about last week. I just want to erase that post completely. BUT I won’t. I earned any mockery you may have of those picks. [table]GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE Thursday 12-13-2012 8:20 Cincinnati 34 @ Philadelphia 13 11,(HIT 11), 11,11 Sunday 12-16-2012 1:00 Green Bay 21@ Chicago 13 9,(HIT 9), 9, 20 N.Y. Giants 0 @ Atlanta 34 2,(HIT 2),2,22 Tampa Bay0 @ New Orleans41 10,(HIT 10),10,32 Minnesota 36 @ St. Louis 22 5,(miss 5) Washington 38 @ Cleveland 21 4, (miss 4) Jacksonville 3 @ Miami 24 15,(HIT 15),15,47 Denver 34@ Baltimore 17 7, (HIT 7),7,54 Indianapolis 17 @ Houston 29 16, (HIT 16),16,70 Sunday 12-16-2012 4:05 Detroit 10@ Arizona 38 14, (miss 14) Carolina 31 @ San Diego 7 8,(miss 8) Seattle 50 @ Buffalo 17 12,(HIT 12), 12, 82 Sunday 12-16-2012 4:25 Pittsburgh 24 @ Dallas 20 (OT) 3, (miss 3) Kansas City 0 @ Oakland 15 6, (HIT 6), 6,88 Sunday 12-16-2012 8:20 San Francisco 41 @ New England 34 13,(miss 13) Monday 12-17-2012 8:30 N.Y. Jets 10 @ Tennessee 14 1,(HIT 1),1,89 Final Score: 42 FINAL SCORE;24 Good Luck to all of you. I only hope I do better than last week. We WILL see. Don’t know what happened. Started off great guns. Then I must have tripped over one of the hash marks. And I had the score EXACTLY (But, BECAUSE of my dyslexia I turned the numbers around). Oh well I still hac next week. [/table] Views: 90
NFL Confidence Picks December 6,2012 thru December 10,2012
ANOTHER, disappointing week, Still trying to figure out where I am going wrong. I have noticed there is a difference in my computations from my old days, but just haven’t figured what I’m missing. But I will keep working on it. [table]GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE Thursday, 12-06-2012 8:25 pm Denver 28 @Oakland 13,, (HIT 14), 14,14 Sunday, 12-09-2012 1:00 pm Baltimore 28 @ Washington 31 OT 1 (HIT 1) 1,15 Kansas City 7 @ Cleveland 30 10,(miss),10 , San Diego 34 @ Pittsburgh 248 ,(miss) 8, , Tennessee 23 @ Indianapolis 27 9,(HIT 9) , 9,24 N.Y. Jets 17 @ Jacksonville 10 2,(HIT 2) ,2 ,26 Chicago 14 @ Minnesota 21 3, (miss) ,5 , Atlanta 20@ Carolina 30 6, (miss) ,6 , Philadelphia 23 @ Tampa Bay21 12 , (miss), 12 , St. Louis 15 @ Buffalo 12 5, (miss) ,5 , Dallas 20 @ Cincinnati 19 4, (miss), 4, Sunday 12-09-2012 4:05 pm Miami 13 @ San Francisco 27 13 , (HIT) ,13,39 Sunday 12-09-2012 4:25 New Orleans 27 @ N.Y. Giants 52, 7 , (HIT 7,46 , Arizona 0 @ Seattle 58 15, (HIT 15),15 ,61 Sunday 12-09-2012 8:20 pm Detroit 20 @ Green Bay 27 16 ,(HIT 16),16,77 Monday 12-10-2012 8:30 pm Houston @ New England 11, (HIT 11) ,11,88 [/table] Total Score: 51 FINAL SCORE : 56 I missed by 6 There you have my selections for this week. GOOD LUCK My picks really picked this week but…. I was only 6 off the total score. Views: 104
NFL Confidence Picks 11-29-2012 thru 12-03-2012
Last week was my points were better, But unacceptable, So a little more tweaking I should be there. So here are my picks for this week. I guess no one beat me last week. As I never heard about it. And we all know how people like to brag when they beat me. [table] GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE 11-29-2012 Thursday 8:20 pm ET New Orleans 13 @ Atlanta 23, 7,(HIT) 7, 7 12-02-2012 Sunday 1:00 pm Seattle 23 @ Chicago 17, OT 6 (miss) 6, 7 Minnesota 14 @ Green Bay 23, 15, (HIT) 15, 22 San Francisco 13 @ St. Louis 17, 12, (miss) 12, 22 Arizona 6 @ N.Y. Jets 7, 8, (HIT) 8, 30 Carolina 21 @ Kansas City 27, 4,(miss), 30 Indianapolis 35 @ Detroit 33, 9, (miss), 30 Jacksonville 18 @ Buffalo 34, 10, (HIT) 10, 40 New England 23 @ Miami 16, 14,(HIT) 14, 54 Houston 24 @ Tennessee 10, 11,(HIT) 11, 65 4:05 pm Tampa Bay 23 @ Denver 31, 13, (HIT) 33, 78 4:25 pm Pittsburgh 23 @ Baltimore 20, 5, (miss) 5, 78 Cleveland 20 @ Oakland, 17 2, (miss) 2, 78 Cincinnati 20 @ San Diego 13 1, (HIT) 1, 79 8:20 pm Philadelphia 33 @ Dallas 38,16, (HIT) 16, 95 12-03-2012 Monday 8:30 pm N.Y. Giants 16 @ Washington 17, 3, (miss) 17, 95 TIE BREAKER 51 Total Score this game 33 [/table] Well another unacceptable score. Not sure where I am going wrong. I was rarely under 100 points a week, in our office pool. I must be missing one factor i used then. YOU probably beat me again. Views: 95
NFL PICKS CONFIDENCE RANKING 11-15 THRU 11-18-2012
For those of you who do not know how confidence ranking goes, let me explain. If we were playing an office pool,(which we ARE NOT). The object is to score the most points. We use the Monday night game as a TIE BREAKER. The tie is broke by the closest to the total (that is the COMBINED score of the two participating tams) final score, without going over. If we were playing this is how my sheet would look; My pick will be in bold letters. you can use circling, underlining, or highlighting. I will show my correct points in Bold [table] GAME, CONFIDENCE,RUNNING SCORE 11/15 8:20 PM ET MIAMI 14 @ BUFFALO 19, 2 (HIT),2 11/18 1:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA 14 @ WASHINGTON 31 ,3 (HIT),5 GREEN BAY 24 @DETROIT 20, 4 (miss) ARIZONA 19 @ ATLANTA 23,13 (HIT), 18 TAMPA BAY 27 @ CAROLINA 21 (OT),1 (miss), CLEVELAND 20 @ DALLAS 23 (OT),11 (HIT),29 N .Y. JETS 27 @ ST. LOUIS 13,7 (miss), JACKSONVILLE 37 @ HOUSTON 43 (OT),14 (HIT),43 CINCINNATI 28 @ KANSAS CITY 20,5 (miss), 11/18 4:05 PM ET NEW ORLEANS 38 @ OAKLAND 17, 9 (miss), 11/18 4:25 PM ET SAN DIEGO 23 @ DENVER 30 ,10 (HIT),53 INDIANAPOLIS 24 @ NEW ENGLAND 59,12 (HIT), 65 11/18 8:20 PM ET BALTIMORE 13 @ PITTSBURG 10,6 (miss) 11/19 8:30 PM ET CHICAGO 7 @ SAN FRANCISCO 32 , 8 (HIT),73 TIE BREAKER 42 FINAL SCORE TOTAL:, 39, = +3 For me. [/table] A rarity this week all games tilt to the home team. Of course the odds are that some visiting team will win at least one game. I WILL BEAT YOU !!!! Have fun WRAP UP: A disappointing total of 73 pts. Not my usual tally. However I was off only 3 pts on the tie breaker. Hope you found this as fun as we always did at work. Check back Wednesday or Thursday before the games start. (If you dare try to match wits with me again) Views: 98
